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Premier League | Gameweek 21
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Norwich logo

Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich

Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 1-0 Norwich City

Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, but Norwich have selection issues of their own, and we are expecting the Foxes to pick up another three points, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
66.05% (-3.512 -3.51) 20.6% (1.6 1.6) 13.35% (1.907 1.91)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-2.246 -2.25)49.03% (2.241 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-2.065 -2.07)71.11% (2.061 2.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-1.715 -1.72)14.01% (1.71 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46% (-3.474 -3.47)41.54% (3.469 3.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (1.793 1.79)47.34% (-1.796 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (1.306 1.31)82.74% (-1.31 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 66.04%
    Norwich City 13.35%
    Draw 20.6%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.878 -0.88)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.734 -0.73)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.415 -0.42)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.748 0.75)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.588 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.665 0.67)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.447 0.45)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Norwich City
6.0%
166
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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