Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich

Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Norwich City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

We said: Leicester City 1-0 Norwich City

Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, but Norwich have selection issues of their own, and we are expecting the Foxes to pick up another three points, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Norwich City
66.05% ( -3.51)	20.6% ( 1.6)	13.35% ( 1.91)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

-2.25)

49.03% (

2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

-2.07)

71.11% (

2.06)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99% (

-1.72)

14.01% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.46% (

-3.47)

41.54% (

3.47)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.66% (

1.79)

47.34% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.25% (

1.31)

82.74% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 66.04%

Norwich City 13.35%

Draw 20.6%

Leicester City	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.88) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.42) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.04%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.6%	0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.35%