We said: Norwich City 1-1 Burnley
This match has a draw written all over it, and we are finding it difficult to back another result. Burnley will have been boosted by their win over Everton, but the Clarets have only been victorious once away from home in the Premier League this term, so we are finding it tough to back Dyche's side here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.