UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 1
Roma

(Roma win 2-1 on aggregate)

Mancini (67' og.)
Dewsbury-Hall (26'), Vardy (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegrini (15')
Abraham (8'), Zaniolo (63')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Roma

With two evenly-matched sides squaring off in a high-stakes first leg, we expect a tight affair with little to separate them. Ultimately, we would not be surprised to see the Foxes take a slender lead with home advantage, leaving everything in the balance for next week's meeting in Rome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Roma
50.22%	23.46%	26.32%

Both teams to score 58.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61%

65.39%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48%

47.52%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15%

65.85%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 50.22%

Roma 26.32%

Draw 23.45%

Leicester City	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.94% Total : 50.22%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 6.62% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.32%