Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
46.85% | 25.15% | 28% |
Both teams to score 53.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.8% | 49.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.74% | 71.26% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% | 21.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% | 53.81% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% | 31.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% | 68.18% |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |