Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.