Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.