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Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
London Stadium
Gent

West Ham
4 - 1
Gent

Antonio (37', 63'), Paqueta (55' pen.), Rice (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cuypers (26')
Orban (18')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United progress to the Europa Conference League semi-finals courtesy of a 4-1 second-leg win at home against Gent in the quarter-finals on Thursday, winning 5-2 on aggregate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between West Ham United and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mechelen 1-1 Gent
Sunday, April 16 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Gent had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawGent
39.39% (-0.194 -0.19) 24.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 35.76% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.03% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.121 -0.12)22.74% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.176 -0.18)56.41% (0.165 0.16)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.070999999999998 0.07)24.66% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.105 0.11)59.18% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 39.39%
    Gent 35.76%
    Draw 24.84%
West Ham UnitedDrawGent
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: West Ham vs Gent

West Ham United
81.0%
Draw
10.5%
Gent
8.6%
105
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2023 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Gent
1-1
West Ham
Cuypers (56')
De Sart (47'), Piatkowski (73')
Ings (45+3')
Downes (23'), Ogbonna (34'), Coufal (87')
rhs 2.0
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5Aston Villa6411129313
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11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
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