Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle1 - 0Brentford
The Match
Match Report
Callum Wilson scores a second-half penalty to guide Newcastle United to a narrow 1-0 win over Brentford at St. James' Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brentford |
50.37% ( 0) | 24.16% ( 0) | 25.48% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
