Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
5 - 1
Brentford

Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Toney (54' pen.)
Toney (45+1')

Thomas Frank "fuming" after Brentford concede five at Newcastle United

Head coach Thomas Frank says that he is "fuming" after his Brentford side succumbed to a 5-1 defeat at Newcastle United on Saturday evening.

Oct 8, 18:35

Newcastle United's Jacob Murphy celebrates scoring against Brentford on October 8, 2022

Newcastle United into fifth with impressive victory over Brentford

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 5-1 victory over Brentford.

Oct 8, 17:00

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Brentford

The last five meetings between these two sides at St James' Park have seen a total of 24 goals scored at an average of 4.8 per match, and there could be plenty more goalmouth action in the North East this weekend. Both Newcastle and Brentford will fancy their chances of success, but we can see the hosts following up last weekend's victory with another three points on Saturday in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
46.52% ( 0.61)	25.59% ( -0.13)	27.88% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9% (

0.24)

51.09% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05% (

0.21)

72.95% (

-0.22)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

0.37)

21.95% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

0.57)

55.24% (

-0.58)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

-0.25)

32.83% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

-0.27)

69.4% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 46.51%

Brentford 27.88%

Draw 25.59%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.51%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.88%