EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 1Brentford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
We say: Newport County 0-2 Brentford
Although they are likely to make a few changes to their starting lineup, Brentford should have more than enough quality to breeze past Newport County and book their place in the next round. The Bees made a push for the European spots last season, but they will be hoping they can go further in the EFL Cup, having exited at the third round stage against Gillingham in the previous campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Brentford |
40.97% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( -0.05) | 32.69% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.22) | 52.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( 0.19) | 73.83% ( -0.2) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.08) | 25.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.23% ( 0.11) | 59.77% ( -0.11) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.17) | 29.93% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.2) | 66.03% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Newport County 40.97%
Brentford 32.69%
Draw 26.33%
| Newport County | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.69% |
How you voted: Newport vs Brentford
Newport County
22.1%Brentford
77.9%68
Form Guide
