MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 05:54:10| >> :600:1097842:1097842:
Newport County
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Brentford logo

Newport
1 - 1
Brentford

Rai (90+6')
Charsley (6'), Lewis (76'), Payne (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Jensen (87')
Brentford win 3-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newport County and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 3-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: Newport County 0-2 Brentford

Although they are likely to make a few changes to their starting lineup, Brentford should have more than enough quality to breeze past Newport County and book their place in the next round. The Bees made a push for the European spots last season, but they will be hoping they can go further in the EFL Cup, having exited at the third round stage against Gillingham in the previous campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawBrentford
40.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 26.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 32.69% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.222 0.22)52.11% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.193 0.19)73.83% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.079000000000008 0.08)25.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.111 0.11)59.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.16799999999999 0.17)29.93% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.204 0.2)66.03% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 40.97%
    Brentford 32.69%
    Draw 26.33%
Newport CountyDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.69%

How you voted: Newport vs Brentford

Newport County
22.1%
Brentford
77.9%
68
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool30227170274373
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Manchester CityMan City30156957401751
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
6Chelsea29147853371649
7Aston Villa3013984445-148
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton30121174845347
9Fulham3012994440445
10Bournemouth301281049381144
11Brentford30125135147441
12Crystal Palace29101093734340
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton30713103237-534
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich3048183063-3320
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3024242271-4910


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