Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Leeds United |
57.49% ( 1.05) | 22.89% ( -0.25) | 19.62% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( 0.02) | 47.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0.02) | 69.97% ( -0.01) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.64% ( 0.37) | 16.36% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.02% ( 0.67) | 45.98% ( -0.66) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.51% ( -0.83) | 38.49% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.76% ( -0.8) | 75.24% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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