We said: West Ham United 3-2 Leeds United
The first FA Cup meeting between these two sides since 1930 is all set up to be a cracker, with each of their last five games seeing a combined total of 45 goals fly in.
We fancy that trend to continue this weekend, possibly with the bonus of an extra 30 minutes on top, but ultimately expect West Ham to make it through to the fourth round given Leeds' significant injury troubles.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
