Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
20.85% ( 0.01) | 21.95% ( 0) | 57.19% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.99% ( 0.01) | 42.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.58% ( 0.01) | 64.41% ( -0.01) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.02) | 33.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.4% ( 0.02) | 70.59% ( -0.02) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.52% ( -0) | 14.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.54% ( -0) | 42.45% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.31% 2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.85% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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