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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Aston Villa logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Gomes (9')
Costa (39'), Gomes (82'), Semedo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mings (39'), Watkins (63'), Luiz (75')

The Match

Match Report

Wolverhampton Wanderers defeat West Midlands rivals Aston Villa 1-0 at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
42.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.29% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)52.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)74.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6%24.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)58.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.09% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)67.41% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 42.54%
    Aston Villa 31.18%
    Draw 26.28%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Wolves vs Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers
27.5%
Draw
22.5%
Aston Villa
50.0%
178
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Hee-chan (36')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
gameweek 8
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 12
Wolves
0-1
Aston Villa

Traore (43'), Dendoncker (77'), Moutinho (83')
Moutinho (90+5')
El Ghazi (90+4' pen.)
Luiz (14'), Cash (29'), McGinn (30'), Targett (81'), Konsa (82'), Grealish (88')
Luiz (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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