Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
38.29% (![]() | 26.36% (![]() | 35.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% (![]() | 51.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% (![]() | 73.52% (![]() |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% (![]() | 26.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% (![]() | 61.51% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% (![]() | 28.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% (![]() | 63.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 70 |
2 | Arsenal | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 55 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 51 |
4 | Chelsea | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 45 |
9 | Bournemouth | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 44 |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 42 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Brentford | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 38 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 34 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 33 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 23 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 17 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 68 | -48 | 9 |
> Premier League Full Table |