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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Toney (65')
Norgaard (23'), Schade (55'), Janelt (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luiz (87')
Young (29'), Luiz (70')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford and Aston Villa both suffer blows in their respective European ambitions with a 1-1 stalemate at the Brentford Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
38.29% (0.064 0.06) 26.36% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.35% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012 -0.01)51.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.52% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.51% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.74% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 38.29%
    Aston Villa 35.35%
    Draw 26.35%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
25.3%
Draw
18.5%
Aston Villa
56.2%
233
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Brentford
1-0
Aston Villa
Maupay (91')

Hutton (40')
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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