Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses1 - 4Porto
We said: Belenenses 0-3 Porto
Given the seasons that these two sides are having, we can only see Porto coming out as comfortable winners on Sunday. Os Dragoes have shown themselves to be formidable at both ends of the pitch, and Conceicao's side should have far too much for their hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.29%) and 0-3 (12.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Porto |
| 6.61% | 14.57% | 78.82% |
| Both teams to score 38.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
