Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
2 | Benfica | 3 | 8 | 9 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 3 | -7 | 0 |
18 | Maritimo | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 5.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.87%) and 1-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
81.96% (![]() | 12.69% (![]() | 5.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 37.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.7% (![]() | 39.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.37% (![]() | 61.63% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.66% (![]() | 7.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.48% (![]() | 26.51% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.94% (![]() | 59.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.84% (![]() | 90.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
2-0 @ 14.78% (![]() 3-0 @ 12.87% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 11.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 81.94% | 1-1 @ 5.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 12.69% | 0-1 @ 2.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 1.5% Total : 5.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |