Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
18% | 24.43% | 57.58% |
Both teams to score 44.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% | 55.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.03% | 76.97% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% | 45.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.02% | 80.98% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% | 19.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% | 51.03% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.93% 2-1 @ 4.55% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.56% Total : 18% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 14.3% 0-2 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-4 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.69% Total : 57.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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