Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

May 1, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Nacional

Feddal (83'), Cabral (90+2' pen.)
Paulinho (31'), Braganca (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibrahim Alhassan (22'), Bessa (57'), Cesar (65'), Correia (90+1')
Ibrahim Alhassan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Nacional
70.12%	19.4%	10.47%

Both teams to score 40.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1%

50.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22%

72.78%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64%

13.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.75%

40.25%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.46%

53.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.01%

86.99%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 70.11%

Nacional 10.47%

Draw 19.4%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Nacional
2-0 @ 14.49% 1-0 @ 14.39% 3-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 70.11%	1-1 @ 9% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.4%	0-1 @ 4.47% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.47%