Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.