Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
