Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
44.18% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() | 30.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% (![]() | 50.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.92% (![]() | 72.07% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% (![]() | 22.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% (![]() | 56.23% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% (![]() | 30.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.12% (![]() | 66.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.65% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.18% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 22 | 43 | 65 |
3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |