Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
1 - 0
Estoril

Mangas (50')
Bozenik (67'), Lourenco (85'), Mangas (90+11')
Watai (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gamboa (29'), Ndiaye (59'), Gouveia (68'), Alvaro (78'), Santos (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Boavista 1-1 Estoril Praia

Both teams can take positives out of their recent results, Boavista more so than Estoril. Nevertheless, with the visitors easing the pressure on themselves last time out, we feel that playing with a greater freedom here will see them earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Estoril Praia
64.15% ( -0.06)	20.46% ( 0.01)	15.4% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74% (

0.07)

44.25% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

0.06)

66.63% (

-0.06)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.92% (

13.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.31% (

39.69% (

-0)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.56% (

0.11)

41.44% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05% (

0.1)

77.95% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Boavista 64.14%

Estoril Praia 15.4%

Draw 20.46%

Boavista	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.14%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.4%