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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca

Estoril
4 - 1
Arouca

Marques (30'), Pina (42'), Alvaro (64'), Holsgrove (90')
Garcia (21'), Amaral (40'), Robles (76'), Michel (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Araujo (24')
Esgaio (36'), N'Diaye (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maria da Fonte 0-5 Arouca
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Arouca

 It has been a slow start to the league campaign for Estoril Praia and Arouca, who find themselves separated by just one point at the bottom of the table, and we expect both sides to go all out in search of maximum points this weekend. The Arouquenses take on a deflated Estoril side who were sent packing from the Taca de Portugal last time out, and we are tipping them to come away with the desired result, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
23.18% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.13% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 53.7% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.453 -0.45)44.49% (0.459 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.441 -0.44)66.86% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)33.16% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-0.406 -0.41)69.77% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.139 -0.14)16.51% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)46.26% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 23.18%
    Arouca 53.7%
    Draw 23.12%
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.18%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.33% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.7%

How you voted: Estoril vs Arouca

Estoril Praia
9.1%
Draw
36.4%
Arouca
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 18
Estoril
1-2
Arouca
Guitane (3')
Marques (50'), Carlos (90+3'), Pina (90+7')
Mujica (8'), Esgaio (45+1')
Santos (50'), Esgaio (87')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
4-3
Estoril
Mujica (20'), Cristo (57'), Feltes (73' og.), Santos (90+6')
Esgaio (4'), Sylla (10'), Kouassi (21'), Santos (90+7')
Kouassi (37')
Holsgrove (10'), Marques (49'), Marques (70')
Holsgrove (41'), Gomes (90+10')
> Preview
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Estoril
2-0
Arouca
Carvalho (68'), Cassiano (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Arouca
2-0
Estoril
Dabbagh (28', 64')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Estoril
1-2
Arouca
Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')
Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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