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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
0 - 1
Arouca


Falcao (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trezza (45+1')
Fukui (69'), Rodrigues (77'), Jason (90+3'), Esgaio (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Arouca

Having stumbled into the new campaign, Farense and Arouca will head into the weekend looking to secure a morale-boosting result and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arouca in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
25.85% (0.649 0.65) 24.77% (0.239 0.24) 49.38% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.473 -0.47)49.06% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.429 -0.43)71.14% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.288 0.29)33.37% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.314 0.31)69.99% (-0.315 -0.31)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.548 -0.55)19.89% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.891 -0.89)52.02% (0.889 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 25.85%
    Arouca 49.37%
    Draw 24.76%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.195 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.85%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.37%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
44.4%
Draw
55.6%
Arouca
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Arouca
2-1
Farense
Esgaio (45+1'), Cristo (68')
De Arruabarrena (55'), Trezza (78'), Moreira (90+1'), Galovic (90+4')
Duarte (88')
Caseres (49'), Mota (50'), Duarte (82')
Caseres (90+5')
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Farense
2-0
Arouca
Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

Simao (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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