Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto4 - 0Arouca
We said: Porto 3-0 Arouca
Despite what might have played out in the previous season, Porto are backed to inflict Arouca's fifth league loss this term to pile more misery on an injury-afflicted opponent and record their fifth consecutive top-flight victory at the Dragao since the backend of last season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
77.36% ( 1.22) | 14.31% ( -0.51) | 8.34% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0.04) | 34.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.67% ( 0.04) | 56.34% ( -0.04) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.76% ( 0.26) | 7.25% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.67) | 26.26% ( -0.67) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.87% ( -1.53) | 47.14% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.41% ( -1.18) | 82.59% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 77.35%
Arouca 8.34%
Draw 14.31%
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.38)1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.12)6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 77.35% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.31% | 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.27% Total : 8.34% |
How you voted: Porto vs Arouca
Porto
97.6%Draw
0.0%Arouca
2.4%42
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Porto
1-1
Arouca
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
