Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, July 19 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Boavista	0	0	0
6	Braga	0	0	0
7	Casa Pia	0	0	0

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, July 30 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Santa Clara	0	0	0
13	Sporting Lisbon	0	0	0
14	Vitoria de Guimaraes	0	0	0

We said: Braga 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sunday will certainly be a tough opening test for Sporting Lisbon against one of the Primeira Liga's strongest sides, but we see Ruben Amorim's men coming away with all three points. With Benfica already putting three points on the board, Os Leoes will know the importance of a strong start in the fight for the title, and we anticipate them securing a narrow victory away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braga had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
21.96% ( -0.38)	23.69% ( -0.23)	54.35% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

0.55)

48.22% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

0.5)

70.38% (

-0.5)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

-0.05)

36.36% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

-0.05)

73.14% (

0.05)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

0.43)

17.64% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

0.74)

48.24% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Braga 21.96%

Sporting Lisbon 54.34%

Draw 23.68%

Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.96%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.34%