Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia
Casa Pia appear to have turned a corner in recent weeks in their survival bid, particularly in defence, and we fancy them to extend their impressive run with a victory and clean sheet against a struggling Estrela Amadora side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Casa Pia |
47.84% ( -0.03) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 26.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( -0.05) | 52.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( -0.04) | 73.98% ( 0.03) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.03) | 21.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.9% ( -0.05) | 55.09% ( 0.04) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.02) | 34.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.02) | 71.29% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora 47.84%
Casa Pia 26.49%
Draw 25.66%
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.49% |
How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora
26.1%Draw
39.1%Casa Pia
34.8%23
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
Form Guide
