Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
62.28% ( 0.13) | 21.91% ( -0.03) | 15.81% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( -0.07) | 49.62% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( -0.06) | 71.64% ( 0.07) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( 0.02) | 15.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( 0.03) | 44.19% ( -0.03) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.85% ( -0.17) | 44.14% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.76% ( -0.14) | 80.24% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |