Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Chaves |
37.78% ( 0.1) | 26.72% ( 0) | 35.5% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( -0.01) | 53.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0) | 74.8% ( 0) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( 0.06) | 27.35% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% ( 0.07) | 62.81% ( -0.07) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -0.06) | 28.7% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( -0.08) | 64.53% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.77% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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