Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
77.98% ( -0) | 13.99% | 8.03% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.79% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.04% ( -0) | 33.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.18% ( -0) | 55.81% ( 0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.98% ( -0) | 7.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.34% ( -0) | 25.66% ( 0) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.48% ( 0) | 47.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% ( 0) | 82.88% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 11.76% 3-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.76% 4-0 @ 6.92% 4-1 @ 5.15% 5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.92% 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.27% Total : 77.97% | 1-1 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.33% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.99% | 0-1 @ 2.48% 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.17% Total : 8.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |