Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.57% (![]() | 18.57% (![]() | 68.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% (![]() | 42.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.54% (![]() | 64.46% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% (![]() | 44.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% (![]() | 80.3% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% (![]() | 11.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% (![]() | 35.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.57% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.57% | 0-2 @ 11.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.8% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 68.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |