Estrela Amadora1 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Sunday, March 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Estrela have shown their mettle on home turf in recent weeks, but other than frustrating their opponents to a point, we believe that Sporting will have enough firepower to come away with the desired result at the Estadio Jose Gomes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.57% ( -0.15) | 18.57% ( -0.05) | 68.87% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.16) | 42.05% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( -0.16) | 64.46% ( 0.16) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% ( -0.35) | 44.21% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.7% ( -0.29) | 80.3% ( 0.29) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( 0.01) | 11.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.44% ( 0.02) | 35.56% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.57% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.57% | 0-2 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.68% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.77% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 68.86% |
