Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
35.21% ( 0.15) | 25.69% ( 0.04) | 39.09% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( -0.18) | 48.9% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( -0.16) | 70.99% ( 0.17) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.21% | 26.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.92% | 62.07% ( -0) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( -0.18) | 24.62% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( -0.25) | 59.12% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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