Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.