Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
43.51% ( -0.3) | 26.85% ( -0.07) | 29.63% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( 0.4) | 55.18% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( 0.33) | 76.42% ( -0.33) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( 0.03) | 25.16% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( 0.04) | 59.88% ( -0.05) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( 0.48) | 33.65% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( 0.52) | 70.3% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |