Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
56.72% ( -0.49) | 24.01% ( 0.34) | 19.26% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.29% ( -1.1) | 52.71% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% ( -0.95) | 74.34% ( 0.95) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( -0.59) | 18.42% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( -1.01) | 49.58% ( 1.01) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.27% ( -0.47) | 41.73% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.8% ( -0.41) | 78.2% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 13% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
3 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 19 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Casa Pia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
12 | AVS | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 9 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
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