Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Maritimo

Tiba (23'), Araujo (82')
Araujo (30'), Fernandes (58'), Marin (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Riascos (62'), Val (64'), Vidigal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo

Off the back of ending their four-game losing streak, Maritimo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to beat the drop. However, they take on a Gil Vicente side who are unbeaten in seven of their nine matches this year and have put together a fine run of form on home turf. We predict a cagey affair on Sunday with the Gilistas picking up all three points and sending the visitors crashing back to earth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Maritimo
54.12% ( 0.59)	24.65% ( -0.11)	21.23% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 48.53% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

-0.09)

52.88% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.5% (

-0.08)

74.49% (

0.08)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51% (

0.19)

19.48% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65% (

0.32)

51.35% (

-0.32)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27% (

-0.54)

39.73% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

-0.5)

76.4% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 54.11%

Maritimo 21.23%

Draw 24.65%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.11%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.23%