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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Maritimo

Chaves
2 - 1
Maritimo

Euller (2'), Vitoria (21' pen.)
Sylla (26'), Abass (29'), Vitor (39'), Teixeira (41'), Vitoria (43'), Guimaraes (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Winck (27' pen.)
Xadas (13'), Beltrame (14'), China (45+4'), Rene (80'), Val (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Maritimo

Chaves and Maritimo have struggled for form in recent weeks and will head into Sunday in search of a morale-boosting result. However, we predict that they will both take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawMaritimo
51% (0.012 0.01) 26% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.138 -0.14)56.19% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.114 -0.11)77.24% (0.113 0.11)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)22.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.118 -0.12)39.83% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.11 -0.11)76.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 50.99%
    Maritimo 23%
    Draw 26%
ChavesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Chaves vs Maritimo

Chaves
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Maritimo
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Joel (39')
Vidigal (45+7')
Rafael Brito Teixeira (70'), Bachi (75')
Martins Sousa (40')
Feb 2, 2019 3.30pm
Chaves
1-0
Maritimo
Bressan (69')
Jefferson (78'), Niltinho (92')

Africo (56'), Joel (80'), Junior (91'), Costa (94')
Aug 24, 2018 8.30pm
Maritimo
2-1
Chaves
Barrera (91'), Lucas (95')
Joel (42'), Danny (44'), China (87'), Barrera (91')
William (17')
Djavan (45'), Eustaquio (82'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (94')
May 6, 2018 6pm
Chaves
4-1
Maritimo
Tiba (37'), Bressan (45' pen.), Pereira (52', 77' pen.)
Paulinho (43')
Bebeto (26')
Bebeto (45'), Junior (45'), Baiano (46')
Jan 3, 2018 6.15pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Oliveira (83')
Gamboa (55'), Carlos Ramos Martins (59'), Costa (67'), Borges (88')
Platiny (24'), Davidson (50')
Tiba (53'), Pereira (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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