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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Maritimo

Chaves
2 - 1
Maritimo

Euller (2'), Vitoria (21' pen.)
Sylla (26'), Abass (29'), Vitor (39'), Teixeira (41'), Vitoria (43'), Guimaraes (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Winck (27' pen.)
Xadas (13'), Beltrame (14'), China (45+4'), Rene (80'), Val (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Maritimo

Chaves and Maritimo have struggled for form in recent weeks and will head into Sunday in search of a morale-boosting result. However, we predict that they will both take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawMaritimo
51% (0.012 0.01) 26% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.138 -0.14)56.19% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.114 -0.11)77.24% (0.113 0.11)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)22.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.118 -0.12)39.83% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.11 -0.11)76.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 50.99%
    Maritimo 23%
    Draw 26%
ChavesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Chaves vs Maritimo

Chaves
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Maritimo
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Joel (39')
Vidigal (45+7')
Rafael Brito Teixeira (70'), Bachi (75')
Martins Sousa (40')
Feb 2, 2019 3.30pm
Chaves
1-0
Maritimo
Bressan (69')
Jefferson (78'), Niltinho (92')

Africo (56'), Joel (80'), Junior (91'), Costa (94')
Aug 24, 2018 8.30pm
Maritimo
2-1
Chaves
Barrera (91'), Lucas (95')
Joel (42'), Danny (44'), China (87'), Barrera (91')
William (17')
Djavan (45'), Eustaquio (82'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (94')
May 6, 2018 6pm
Chaves
4-1
Maritimo
Tiba (37'), Bressan (45' pen.), Pereira (52', 77' pen.)
Paulinho (43')
Bebeto (26')
Bebeto (45'), Junior (45'), Baiano (46')
Jan 3, 2018 6.15pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Oliveira (83')
Gamboa (55'), Carlos Ramos Martins (59'), Costa (67'), Borges (88')
Platiny (24'), Davidson (50')
Tiba (53'), Pereira (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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