Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
2 - 1
Maritimo

Mauricio (84'), Junior (90+1')
Relvas (44'), Diaby-Fadiga (45+1'), Junior (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Xadas (13')
Riascos (37'), Junior (51'), Makaridze (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Portimonense 2-0 Maritimo

Portimonense have picked up four points from their last two home games and will be looking to maintain this solid run. The Alvinegros have enjoyed a fine run of results against Maritimo and we are tipping them to come away with a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Maritimo
52.27% ( 0.04)	25.5% ( -0.01)	22.24% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

0.03)

55.04% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

0.02)

76.3% (

-0.02)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

0.03)

21.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

0.04)

53.91% (

-0.04)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

-0.01)

39.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

-0.01)

76.59% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 52.26%

Maritimo 22.24%

Draw 25.5%

Portimonense	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 13.1% 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.24%