Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 4-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
85.62% ( -0.06) | 9.65% ( 0.03) | 4.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.31% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.44% ( -0.06) | 25.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.36% ( -0.07) | 45.64% ( 0.07) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.94% ( -0.02) | 4.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.94% ( -0.06) | 17.06% ( 0.06) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.31% ( 0.05) | 50.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.87% ( 0.04) | 85.12% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
3-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.55% 4-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 85.62% | 1-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 9.65% | 1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |