Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
51.67% ( -0.08) | 25.35% ( 0.02) | 22.97% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.65% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.18% ( -0.03) | 53.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( -0.03) | 75.29% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( -0.05) | 20.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( -0.07) | 53.52% ( 0.07) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( 0.03) | 38.53% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( 0.04) | 75.27% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |