Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
18.39% (![]() | 22.17% (![]() | 59.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.52% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.24% (![]() | 68.76% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% (![]() | 39.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% (![]() | 75.81% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.74% (![]() | 15.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.06% (![]() | 43.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 5.6% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.39% | 1-1 @ 10.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 11.21% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.54% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |