MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 13:16:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Gil Vicente logo

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Martins (46')
Baro (44'), Martins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
Kritsyuk (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-1 Gil Vicente

On course to make their maiden appearance in a UEFA-organised competition across the club's 102-year history, we predict that Casa Pia will take one step closer to their end-of-season aim with three points at the Estadio Pina Manique on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawGil Vicente
32.02% (-1.039 -1.04) 26.59% (-0.29 -0.29) 41.39% (1.329 1.33)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.597 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.903 0.9)53.34% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.759 0.76)74.88% (-0.759 -0.76)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.241 -0.24)31% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.285 -0.28)67.3% (0.28399999999999 0.28)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (1.123 1.12)25.42% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (1.511 1.51)60.24% (-1.512 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 32.02%
    Gil Vicente 41.39%
    Draw 26.59%
Casa PiaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.397 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.199 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.39%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente

Casa Pia
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
Gil Vicente
7.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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