Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense3 - 2Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, November 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Boavista
Saturday, November 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Moreirense 2-0 Gil Vicente
Having lost their last two outings, both Moreirense and Gil Vicente will head into Friday's game looking to stop the rot and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Peixoto's men have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks and we are backing them to come away with all three points against a Gil Vicente side who have struggled to impose themselves on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.03% ( -0.03) | 28.8% ( 0.02) | 37.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.05) | 61.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.87% ( -0.04) | 81.13% ( 0.04) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.05) | 33.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.05) | 70.31% ( 0.06) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.02) | 68.01% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 34.03%
Gil Vicente 37.17%
Draw 28.79%
| Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.17% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Gil Vicente
Moreirense
72.0%Draw
20.0%Gil Vicente
8.0%25
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3.30pm
Form Guide
