Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
33.92% ( 0.06) | 26.52% ( 0.05) | 39.56% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.38% ( -0.19) | 52.61% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.73% ( -0.16) | 74.26% ( 0.16) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( -0.06) | 29.38% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( -0.07) | 65.37% ( 0.07) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.14) | 26.06% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( -0.19) | 61.11% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |