Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.98% | 22.11% | 62.91% |
Both teams to score 44.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% | 51.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% | 73.62% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.36% | 46.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.78% | 82.21% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.06% | 15.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.79% | 45.21% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.67% 2-1 @ 3.97% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-1 @ 1.01% 3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.98% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 12.53% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-4 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.03% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.88% Total : 62.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |