Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 13, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela0 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 17.81% | 23.78% | 58.41% |
| Both teams to score 45.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% | 75.24% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.95% | 44.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.83% | 80.16% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% | 18.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.81% | 49.18% |
| Score Analysis |
Tondela 17.81%
Sporting Lisbon 58.39%
Draw 23.78%
| Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.81% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-4 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.39% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
