
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira

Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Nacional
Saturday, January 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Moreirense
Friday, January 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Nacional 1-1 Arouca
After stumbling into the campaign, Arouca have turned things around of late and will be looking to keep the ball rolling this weekend. However, Nacional have proven tough to crack on home turf and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Arouca |
25.97% (![]() | 23.96% (![]() | 50.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% (![]() | 45.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% (![]() | 67.87% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.6% (![]() | 31.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.23% (![]() | 67.77% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% (![]() | 18.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.71% (![]() | 49.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nacional 25.97%
Arouca 50.06%
Draw 23.96%
Nacional | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 6.64% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 11.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 9.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.06% |
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 4pm
Nacional
1-1
Arouca
Agra (96' pen.)
Washington (48')
Washington (48')
Aug 21, 2016 6pm
Arouca
2-0
Nacional
Crivellaro (24'), Zequinha (30')
Coelho (42')
Coelho (42')
May 1, 2016 6.15pm