Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
29.82% ( 0.72) | 27.11% ( 0.31) | 43.06% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( -0.87) | 56.08% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( -0.71) | 77.15% ( 0.72) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% ( 0.08) | 33.98% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.34% ( 0.09) | 70.66% ( -0.08) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -0.92) | 25.8% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.25% ( -1.26) | 60.75% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |