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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca

Guimaraes
vs.
Arouca

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: O Elvas 2-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 1-3 Arouca
Saturday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca

With disappointment from their surprise cup exit lingering in the air, Vitoria de Guimaraes will be looking to retire some pride this weekend and snap their five-game winless run in the league. Off the back of a solid display against Boavista, we expect Arouca to put up a fight at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques, but we fancy Freire's side to prove tough to crack in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 26.42% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Arouca win is 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
49.02% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 24.56% (-0.123 -0.12) 26.42% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (0.562 0.56)47.76% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (0.517 0.52)69.95% (-0.521 -0.52)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.245 0.25)19.53% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.57% (0.402 0.4)51.42% (-0.406 -0.41)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (0.34400000000001 0.34)32.21% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (0.39 0.39)68.7% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.01%
    Arouca 26.42%
    Draw 24.55%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.01%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.42%

Who will win Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Guimaraes and Arouca?

Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
Arouca
Vitoria de Guimaraes
100%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
0.0%
2
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
0-1
Guimaraes

Weverson (22'), Trezza (43'), Rocha (47'), Simao (62'), Araujo (75'), Jason (76')
Rocha (81')
Oliveira (14')
Gaspar (48'), Silva (76')
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Arouca
1-3
Guimaraes
Cristo (39' pen.)
Kouassi (45+2'), Simao (64'), Borevkovic (82')
Oliveira (50'), Thiago (53' og.), Silva (62')
Silva (33'), Silva (45+3'), Andre (72'), Lawal (82'), Ribeiro (90+2')
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
2-1
Arouca
Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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