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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril

Porto
4 - 0
Estoril

Loader (19'), Pepe (28'), Galeno (77', 87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Alvaro (36'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 4-0 Estoril Praia

 Porto's outstanding form this season should mean they come into Sunday's clash as strong favourites. Estoril have also been poor on the road, and it would not be surprising if they conceded multiple goals despite taking some confidence from their win last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
76.33% (-0.51400000000001 -0.51) 15.07% (0.228 0.23) 8.6% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.504 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)37.35% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)59.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.13 -0.13)8.13% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (-0.321 -0.32)28.53% (0.319 0.32)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.619 0.62)48.61% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.444 0.44)83.68% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Porto 76.32%
    Estoril Praia 8.6%
    Draw 15.07%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 10.41% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.53% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 7.15% (0.103 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.24% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.07%
0-1 @ 2.85% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 2.58% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 8.6%

How you voted: Porto vs Estoril

Porto
94.3%
Draw
5.7%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Estoril
1-0
Porto
Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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